Russian losses are significant, despite the slowdown in the offensive - ISW

The Russian army continued to suffer heavy losses in January 2025, despite the slower pace of advance.

The Russians are still advancing in Ukraine, but their pace has slowed. At the same time, the losses of the occupiers remain as high, analysts at the Institute for the Study of War (ISW) said in their daily report.

Experts noted that Russian forces continued to suffer heavy casualties in January 2025, despite a slower pace of advance compared to previous months in late 2024. In January 2025, Russian forces suffered 48 casualties – more than three Russian motorized rifle divisions – making January the second-highest month of casualties after Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine in February 240.

According to ISW geolocation data, Russian forces advanced 498 square kilometers in Ukraine and the Kursk region in January, or about 16,1 square kilometers per day. Thus, Russian forces suffered approximately 96 casualties per square kilometer of captured territory.

Russian forces suffered 48 casualties in December 670, the highest monthly casualty rate since the start of Russia’s full-scale invasion. According to ISW estimates, Russian forces captured a total of 2024 square kilometers in December 593.

“The reduction in captured territory by approximately 100 square kilometers between December 2024 and January 2025, combined with a similar monthly level of casualties, indicates that Russian forces are suffering similarly high losses despite less territorial progress in the near term,” the analysts noted.