Due to the fall of the Assad regime, Putin may lose his military bases: ISW predicted the consequences

After the fall of the Syrian dictator Bashar al-Assad's regime, Russian President Vladimir Putin may lose his military bases in Syria.

As the American Institute for the Study of War notes, this threatens the Kremlin with serious consequences. Thus, the Russian Federation used its naval base in Tartus to project power in the Mediterranean. With its help, Moscow threatened NATO's southern flank and linked its Black Sea assets with the Mediterranean.

Analysts say the loss of Russian bases in Syria is likely to disrupt Russian logistics, as well as its resupply efforts and the rotation of the Africa Corps. The operations of the Russian Federation and the projection of force in Libya and sub-Saharan Africa are particularly affected.

According to ISW, the Kremlin can try to use its presence in Libya and Sudan as an alternative, but the absence of official agreements in the Russian Federation with these countries and insufficient infrastructure make them inadequate substitutes.

In addition, experts emphasize, the collapse of the Assad regime and Putin's inability to save it will also harm the global image of Russia as a reliable ally. This threatens its influence over African autocrats, whom the Kremlin seeks to support, and threatens its broader geopolitical goal of positioning Russia as a global superpower.

The situation in Syria - the latest news

Later, Russia announced that Assad had peacefully left the post of president and left Syria.

Military expert David Handelman noted that Assad did not prepare for a possible confrontation with the rebels and relied too much on the Russian Federation and Iran, which acted as his allies.