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A French trader known as Theo has bet more than $30 million on Donald Trump's victory. He emphasizes that his goal is to make money, not political influence. Against the background of such bookmaker infusions, the betting market began to show Trump's advantage, although the poll gives a slight advantage to his rival, Kamala Harris.
According to the Wall Street Journal, a surge in bids on Trump, especially on the Polymarket platform, raised suspicions of manipulation. However, the French investor assures that he is not trying to manipulate the elections in the USA. He insists that his intention is simply to make money.
Bookmakers are on the side of Trump, although the poll supports Harris: what is behind this?
According to the latest figures, Donald Trump has become the favorite in the betting markets, although Kamala Harris continues to lead the opinion polls. US media speculate that this gap between rates and polls may be the result of manipulative betting. Political expert Serhiy Fursa notes that Elon Musk, by spreading information about bets on Trump's victory, is pushing the growth of interest in cryptocurrencies and market shares related to the likely victory of the Republican candidate.
Thus, according to the RealClearPolitics portal, bets in eight betting offices show that Trump supposedly has a greater chance of winning than Harris (on average 58.1 for Trump against 40.4 for Harris).
- BetOnline is 59 to 39
- Betfair - 56 to 39
- Betsson – 58 against 43
- Bovada is 59 to 40
- Bwin – 59 against 42
- Points Bet - 60 against 43
- Polymarket - 58 against 37
- Smarkets – 56 vs. 40
Harris vs. Trump - the upcoming US election
In the United States, the presidential elections will be held on November 5, next week. So the election race is now in full swing. The Economist, citing its own statistical model, writes that Donald Trump's chances of winning are increasing. Now they estimate at 54%. For the first time since August 2024, he beat his opponent Kamala Harris. The other day, Harris warned that under the leadership of Donald Trump, Putin will "sit in Kyiv." According to her, Trump has already said that he will resolve the conflict between Ukraine and Russia in one day, which, according to Harris, is a dangerous signal.
A deputy editor of The Washington Post has written a book that says Trump and Putin began developing their personal relationship during the height of the COVID-19 pandemic. The author stated that in 2020, when the US was facing a shortage of COVID tests, President Donald Trump sent several tests to Vladimir Putin for his personal use. The Russian dictator accepted the "gift", but warned Trump not to disclose information about their relationship.
The New York Times also notes that Donald Trump's views on Ukraine could be significantly shaped by Putin's influence. Journalists explain that Putin portrayed Ukraine to Trump as a state with a very high level of corruption. And the complex influence on Trump began in 2017.
