Donald Trump is back in power stronger than ever, and this time his status as a political leader is completely different. According to the data Politico, a landslide victory in the 2024 presidential election gave Trump the authority and freedom on the international stage that he lacked in 2017. Now he has not just the support of the Republicans, but serious influence, thanks to which he is able to fundamentally change the global order. And this is not just an assumption. Trump's ideas about isolationism, protectionism in trade and sympathy for the Kremlin make many worried, especially in Europe, where his positions are already being called threatening.
Former Swedish Prime Minister Carl Bildt described the reaction of many European leaders as "gloom and despair," predicting that Trump's second term would bring major changes to the world. British historian and columnist Niall Ferguson notes Trump's potential as an influential global leader, comparing him even to Ronald Reagan. According to Ferguson, Trump is capable of leading the United States in the "Second Cold War" and leading the country to victory in the face of new geopolitical challenges.
But against this background, many threats and questions remain. In a world that has become more dangerous and more confused than in 2021, Trump will have to face a new alliance of authoritarian powers led by China, which also includes Russia, Iran and North Korea. Against this global background, Ukraine appears as a litmus test for American foreign policy. The conflict in Ukraine has become a major test of American military and diplomatic power, and how Trump handles it will define his second term and his legacy in history.
But here there is an important point. Donald Trump has repeatedly emphasized that it was President Volodymyr Zelenskyi who allowed the escalation of the war with Russia, and did not express clear support for the victory of Ukraine, which indicates his ambiguous position on the conflict. He is not inclined to say that he wants Kyiv to win, and this is a serious concern. Does this mean a change in the vector of American support? Is Trump ready to reduce aid? IN Politico emphasize that this is one of the most difficult issues of his new policy.
And yet, as noted in Politico, despite isolationist sentiments, Trump is unlikely to allow the US to withdraw from the world arena. He perfectly understands the importance of America's international influence, especially in the face of new challenges. Trump will do everything possible to keep America involved in the conflict in Ukraine, and his approach to solving international problems may change the world order in a way that none of his predecessors did.