According to the Ukrainian Hydrometeorological Center, October 2024 is characterized by a gradual transition from moderately warm autumn to cool weather. With sharp temperature fluctuations and frequent rains, this month will bring both prolonged periods of cooling and warm days to Ukraine.
General weather situation
October will be marked by cloudy weather in almost the entire territory of Ukraine, and heavy rains with short periods of clearing are possible in some regions. North and northwest winds will prevail, bringing with them cold air masses from arctic latitudes.
- Average air temperature: from +6°C to +15°C during the day depending on the region, at night from 0°C to +8°C.
- Precipitation: October will be quite wet — the average monthly precipitation will exceed the norm by 15-20%, especially in the west and north.
Detailed forecast by region:
Western Ukraine
The regions of Lviv, Ivano-Frankivsk, Zakarpattia and Volhynia regions will be under the influence of the cyclone from the Baltic. During the month, several powerful waves of precipitation are expected here. In mountainous areas, wet snow and the first frosts are possible, particularly in the second half of October.
- Daytime temperature: +6°C to +13°C.
- Temperature at night: from +1°C to +5°C, minus values are possible in the highlands.
- Precipitation: up to 100-130 mm, which is 25% more than the norm.
- Specifics: the first frosts are expected in the Carpathians with night temperatures down to -3°C. Frequent fogs will be observed in the area of Lviv and Ternopil in the morning hours.
Northern Ukraine
In the north of Ukraine - Zhytomyr, Chernihiv and Kyiv regions - the weather will be mostly cool with frequent rains. Changeable cloudiness will be observed here with periodic clearings in the middle of the month.
- Daytime temperature: +6°C to +12°C.
- Temperature at night: +1°C to +6°C.
- Precipitation: rains at the level of 80-100 mm, showers are likely in the first and last weeks of October.
- Specifics: frequent rains are forecast in the Kyiv region in the second half of the month, with possible gale-force winds of up to 15-20 m/s.
Central Ukraine
In central regions such as Vinnytsia, Cherkasy, Poltava and Dnipropetrovsk, October will be less rainy than in the west or north, but a cold wind from the north will bring a gradual decrease in temperatures.
- Daytime temperature: +8°C to +14°C.
- Temperature at night: +2°C to +6°C, frosts up to -2°C are possible at the end of October.
- Precipitation: up to 60-90 mm.
- Specifics: central areas may experience periods of prolonged cloudy weather. Small thunderstorms are possible in the Poltava and Vinnytsia regions at the beginning of the month.
Eastern Ukraine
In the eastern regions — Kharkiv, Donetsk, and Luhansk regions — October will be marked by less precipitation, but windy weather and cold nights will add to autumn discomfort.
- Daytime temperature: +7°C to +13°C.
- Temperature at night: from 0°C to +5°C.
- Precipitation: about 50-80 mm, short-term rains, sometimes with hail in early October.
- Specifics: strong winds of up to 20 m/s are possible in Luhansk region and Donetsk region, which will lead to a sharp drop in the perceived temperature.
South of Ukraine
In the south of the country, in particular in the Odesa, Kherson and Mykolaiv regions, October will be somewhat milder, but autumn cold will also be felt here, especially in the second half of the month.
- Daytime temperature: +10°C to +18°C.
- Temperature at night: +4°C to +10°C, near the end of the month frosts to 0°C are possible.
- Precipitation: up to 50-70 mm, however, short-term showers with thunderstorms are possible in coastal areas.
- Specifics: strong winds and storms may be observed along the Black Sea coast. In the Odesa region, sharp pressure drops are possible, which will cause strong storms at sea.
Special forecast for big cities:
- Kyiv: October in the capital will be mostly cloudy and rainy. A few lingering rains are forecast with cooling down to +3°C at night in the middle of the month. During the day, the temperature will range from +7°C to +12°C.
- Lviv: cloudiness, rain and a drop in temperature to +6°C during the day at the end of the month. Short-term frosts are possible in the mountainous areas of the region.
- Odesa: daytime temperatures will remain at the level of +12°C to +18°C, but strong winds and showers are possible at the end of October. The water temperature in the Black Sea will gradually decrease to +16°C.
- Kharkiv: the weather will be changeable, with periods of cooling. Daytime temperature +8°C to +13°C, night frosts to -1°C in the middle of the month.
Expected natural phenomena:
- Freezes: in the second half of October, night frosts are possible, especially in the western and central regions, which will cause morning fogs.
- Thunderstorms: in the south and east of the country, as well as in the central regions, short-term thunderstorms are possible in the first half of the month.
- Mists: thick fogs will be observed in the west of Ukraine, especially in the morning and at night, which will make it difficult to see on the roads.
Thus, October 2024 will bring a classic autumn to Ukraine with cooling, rains and possible frosts at the end of the month.